Fourth Down Data
Fourth Down Data

Stop reading analysis.
Start running your own.

A research platform for college football. Put any take to the test — weather, betting lines, EPA, every FBS game since 2017.

Sample query
47.6%
of four-touchdown favorites (28+ points) covered the spread since 2017.
n = 777 decided · 370 covers / 407 misses
Historical query result, not a projection.
Run your own version →
1.06M scrimmage plays across 7,760 FBS games — every FBS game from 2017 to 2025

This week

Fresh analysis every week of the season

The Read
Weekly analytical highlights
What the data noticed this week — the storylines, outliers, and trends across college football, in plain language.
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The Recap
The week's results in review
Every completed game from the most recent week — the rare feats, the best single-game performances by EPA, and how the results landed against the pre-game consensus line.
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The Slate
Every game, every Saturday
A data-driven breakdown of every FBS game on the board — featured matchups, statistical storylines, weather watch, and market context.
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Your tools

Precision instruments for building your own analysis

Most Popular
Backtest any scenarioPro
Query Builder
Wonder if home underdogs of 3-7 points actually cover? Test it against every FBS game since 2017. Weather, rest, spreads, performance stats — see the historical record instantly.
Open the Query Builder →
Compare any two teamsPro
The War Room
Alabama vs Penn State this week? See every matchup side-by-side — EPA head-to-head, identity matchup, situational strengths, history back to 2017, and auto-generated insights — all in one page.
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Find historical matchupsPro
The Archive
This week's games — played before. We find 10 historical matchups with the same EPA profile, same talent gap, same spread range. See how they actually played out.
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Query BuilderPro
Research
Filter every FBS game since 2017 by any combination — spread bands, weather, conference, situational splits — and read the full historical record.
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Player QueryPro
Research
The same query engine at the player level — search game logs and statistical leaders across every FBS season since 2017.
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Reality CheckPro
Hype vs. EPA
Where the polls and the play-by-play disagree — team by team, with the receipts.
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Prefer it ready-made? Auto-generated analysis in Insights →

Pricing

Every Pro tool is open free through September 21. Founding price ends when the gate closes.

Free

$0
  • Team ratings, identity, and situational EPA
  • The Read, The Recap, and The Slate
  • Scores, teams, and leaderboards
  • The Fourth Down Report
Create a free account

Founding Season Pass

$59 one-time
  • Pro through January 31, 2027
  • Every Pro tool: Query Builder, War Room, Archive, Reality Check, Rankings Builder, Player Query
  • One payment — no subscription, no auto-renew
Get the Founding Season Pass

Pro Monthly

$15 / month
  • Full Pro access, billed monthly
  • Cancel anytime
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See it in action

What the data is saying right now

EPA
North Texas: elite offense, struggling defense
North Texas ranks among the best in offense (+1.40 off rating) but among the worst in defense (-0.23 def rating) — the biggest split in FBS.
Explore more insights →

Questions you can ask

The kind of thing your toolkit should let you find out

How often do home dogs of 7+ actually cover?
Filter on spread band, venue, and market role for every FBS game since 2017.
Open Query Builder
How do these two teams' offenses match up?
Side-by-side EPA, identity profile, situational tendencies, and historical head-to-head.
Open The War Room
Has a game like this one happened before?
Find 10 historical matchups with the same EPA profile, spread range, and talent gap.
Open The Archive
Or browse the rankings
Team RatingsSeason DashboardThe Fourth Down ReportTeam IdentityConference StrengthSituational EPARest & TravelBetting InsightsLeaderboards
0M
Scrimmage Plays Analyzed
0
FBS Games
0+
Drives Charted
0
FBS Teams

Every metric on this site is computed independently from raw play-by-play data. Every number is a historical query result — descriptive, never a projection. We don't make predictions. We make them possible.

How the numbers are built →How the ratings validate →Why we built this →

Ready to test your theories?

Every FBS game since 2017. Every result.